#assumptions

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How sensitive is your answer to one uncertain input?

An estimate can look precise while depending heavily on a guess. If an event needs one volunteer per ten guests, an attendance estimate of 50 implies five volunteers, while 100 implies ten. Sensitivity analysis changes an uncertain input to see how much the resulting decision changes.

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assumptions

Which assumption is carrying your conclusion?

Every plan relies on something being true. A weekend event might assume that guests are free, the venue is accessible and the equipment works. Listing these assumptions exposes where the plan is fragile. The most important assumption is often the one that would change the decision if it proved false.

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